Corrected entry: What is the probability that both would happen: a. Harvest machine was ruined by first Sam. b. New Sam somehow arises from bed before it was meant/programmed to - accidentally eavesdropping on the same debate, which directly triggers his suspicion and indirectly forms the base for the whole movie. (I assume that the preceding Sam clones didn't destroy harvest machines, because if they did, there is no reason for central sending the "Aliza" rescue team.)
Tailkinker
14th Oct 2010
Moon (2009)
30th Nov 2009
Moon (2009)
Corrected entry: When the "first" Sam gets his hand burned by the hot water, he gets a burn because he sees a girl dressed in yellow with long dark hair sitting on his chair. We don't get an explanation as to who she was (not his wife or daughter because they are blond, and he doesn't know her as a 15-year-old).
Correction: Not being given an explanation for something is not a plot hole, which is best defined as something happening that benefits the plot while making no sense within the context of the film and established characters. Sam is hallucinating; the identity of the person that he's seeing is largely irrelevant to the plot and to provide a detailed explanation would simply have taken up valuable screen time and just sounded like an unnecessary exposition dump, disrupting the flow of the movie.
Correction: The director has stated in interviews that the hallucinated girl is Sam's daughter at her current age (14-15). He sees this through a sort of clone/twin telepathy.
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Correction: Films often rely on relatively implausible events to kick-start their narrative. These are not generally considered to be mistakes, except in very specific circumstances, which your question doesn't match.
Tailkinker ★