Other mistake: When Brando, Norton and DeNiro are at the table, DeNiro accepts the job and tells Norton the stipulations. When they first begin talking the ashtray on the table is empty, but when Norton is telling his story there is a book of matches in the ashtray, then later they are gone again. Notice, none of the three characters smokes.
The Score (2001)
1 other mistake
Directed by: Frank Oz
Starring: Robert De Niro, Edward Norton, Angela Bassett, Marlon Brando
Factual error: When Nick navigates through the sewer system, he checks his position using GPS. The position on his display corresponds to the middle of the North Atlantic instead of the Montreal area.
Trivia: Most of the conversations between Robert De Niro and Marlon Brando are improvised.
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Answer: He didn't know for a fact that it would happen, but he was experienced enough in these kind of high-stakes operations to plan for literally every contingency, including a double-cross.